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COVID-19 REPORT: Maryland fatality rate analysis by age group

UPDATE 2: View the latest Maryland COVID-19 mortality rate by age group here.

UPDATE: View the latest NottinghamMD.com COVID-19 reports here.

Original story below…

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NOTTINGHAM, MD—The Maryland Department of Health on Wednesday reported that statewide ICU bed utilization decreased as hospitalizations rose over the past 24 hours.

As of Wednesday, there have been 86,285 cases of novel coronavirus in Maryland, an increase of 761 cases since Tuesday. A total of 15,747 tests were performed over the past 24 hours.  Maryland has now conducted 1,160,443 tests.

The statewide positivity rate stands at 4.77%, an increase from Tuesday’s 4.54%.  Baltimore County’s positivity rate stands at 6.07%, an increase from Tuesday’s 5.67%.

There have been 3,347 related deaths and 571 individuals are currently hospitalized…an increase of 20 deaths and 27 hospitalized patients since Tuesday. Approximately 70% of Maryland’s COVID-19 fatalities have been among those over 70 years of age (2,345/3,347), as seen in the chart below from the Maryland Department of Health.

A total of 145 ICU beds are currently in use, a decrease of 5 beds since Tuesday.  There have now been 792,764 negative test results and 5,592 patients have been released from isolation.

Baltimore County has confirmed 11,423 COVID-19 cases and and 516 deaths (note: “probable” deaths are not included in these totals).

Here is the current COVID-19 fatality rate in the state by age group, based on the data in the chart below from the Maryland Department of Health:

Age Group Fatality Rate
80+ 30.26%
70-79 14.75%
60-69 6.03%
50-59 2.02%
40-49 0.72%
30-39 0.27%
20-29 0.13%
10-19 0.02%
0-9 0.00%

 

The overall fatality rate for COVID-19 in Maryland stands at 3.80%.  The fatality rate for those over the age of 70 is approximately 22%.  The fatality rate for those under 70 years of age is approximately 1.29%.  The fatality rate for those under the age of 30 is approximately 0.01%.

By comparison, based on National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) mortality surveillance data available on July 23, 2020, the current U.S. fatality rate due to pneumonia and influenza stands at 7.10%. A total of 185 influenza-associated U.S. pediatric deaths for the 2019-2020 season have been reported to CDC.

Case breakdown by zip code in NottinghamMD.com’s coverage area:

  • 21128 (Perry Hall) – 139 cases (+2)
  • 21162 (White Marsh) – 52 cases (+3)
  • 21234 (Hillendale/Parkville/Carney) – 932 cases (+13)
  • 21236 (Overlea/Fullerton/Nottingham) – 406 cases (+8)

Previous COVID-19 reports can be viewed here.

Governor Larry Hogan will hold a press conference at 3:30 p.m. on Wednesday to provide an update on Maryland’s ongoing COVID-9 response and recovery efforts.

View the Maryland Strong: Roadmap to Recovery here.

Additional charts and data can be found below.

Maryland COVID-19 Hospitalizations 20200729

Maryland COVID-19 Testing Positivity 20200729

Maryland COVID-19 Deaths 20200729

Maryland COVID-19 Deaths by Age 20200729

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